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    US Jobs Data Downgrade Fuels Fed Rate Cut Bets

    Oliver BennettBy Oliver BennettSeptember 10, 2025Updated:September 10, 2025No Comments5 Mins Read

    Stocks Latest Market News: Sharp Downgrade to US Jobs Data Fuels Fed Rate Cut Bets

    Estimated reading time: 5 minutes

    • Revised US jobs data sparked a market rally and increased speculation of a Fed rate cut.
    • Major indices like the S&P 500, Nasdaq, and Dow Jones saw gains.
    • Large-cap growth stocks, particularly in technology, performed exceptionally well.
    • Oracle’s strong earnings report further fueled the positive market sentiment.
    • The focus has shifted from the timing of a rate cut to its magnitude.

    Contents

    • Stocks Latest Market News: Sharp Downgrade to US Jobs Data Fuels Fed Rate Cut Bets
    • Revised Labor Figures Spark Market Rally, Rate Cut Speculation
    • What to Watch Next

    Revised Labor Figures Spark Market Rally, Rate Cut Speculation

    At 2025-09-10 00:22 UTC, a significant downward revision to U.S. jobs data sent shockwaves through the financial markets, fueling intense speculation about an imminent Federal Reserve rate cut. The U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) revealed that the economy added 911,000 fewer jobs than previously reported over the past year. This unexpected development came ahead of crucial economic releases: Wednesday’s Producer Price Index (PPI) and Thursday’s Consumer Price Index (CPI) inflation reports. The news immediately impacted major equity indices, Treasury yields, and individual stocks, highlighting the market’s sensitivity to evolving Federal Reserve policy expectations.

    The immediate market reaction at the close of trading on Tuesday, September 9, 2025, reflected a generally positive sentiment, driven largely by the increased likelihood of a rate cut. The S&P 500 (SPX) closed up 0.27%, while the Nasdaq Composite (a proxy for the Nasdaq 100, NDX) reached a new all-time high, closing up 0.37%. The Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA) also saw gains, closing 0.43% higher. While data for the Russell 2000 (RUT) was not explicitly provided, recent performance suggests small-cap stocks underperformed their large-cap counterparts during this period. The VIX volatility index, a gauge of market uncertainty, edged slightly higher, closing at 15.19 (+0.60%), indicating a degree of caution despite the overall positive market sentiment. US 10-year Treasury yields rose 0.02 percentage points, settling at 4.06%, reflecting the market’s anticipation of potential future inflation pressures even with the rate cut expectation.

    Market breadth showed a clear preference for large-cap growth stocks, particularly within the technology sector. Large-cap tech companies, heavily represented in the Nasdaq, and semiconductor firms benefited most from the increased expectations for a rate cut. This suggests investors believe lower interest rates would be particularly beneficial for these sectors, which tend to be more sensitive to borrowing costs. This strong performance further underscores the market’s positive reaction to the overall implications of the revised jobs data and its influence on the anticipated Federal Reserve actions.

    The revised jobs data significantly impacted single-stock performance, with some companies experiencing dramatic moves. Oracle (ORCL), for example, saw its share price surge by a remarkable 28% in after-hours trading following the release of its quarterly earnings report. This surge was attributed to a staggering 1,529% jump in multicloud database revenue, fueled by robust demand for AI servers and multi-billion dollar cloud contracts with three major Q1 customers. This strong performance further underscores the market’s positive reaction to the overall implications of the revised jobs data and its influence on the anticipated Federal Reserve actions.

    Reuters, Bloomberg, the Financial Times (FT), and the Wall Street Journal (WSJ) all corroborated the market’s response to the revised jobs data, noting the broad advance in U.S. stocks as dovish Fed expectations solidified. These reputable news sources also highlighted Oracle’s exceptional after-hours gains, emphasizing the significant impact of its strong earnings report on the overall market sentiment. These reputable news sources also highlighted Oracle’s exceptional after-hours gains, emphasizing the significant impact of its strong earnings report on the overall market sentiment. The consensus view across these sources points towards a strengthening belief that the Federal Reserve is highly likely to implement a rate cut in the coming week, leading to the observed market rally and sector-specific performance differences.

    The downward revision to the jobs data has amplified expectations of a Federal Reserve rate cut, shifting the market’s focus from the timing of a potential cut to the magnitude of the reduction. This uncertainty is reflected in the slightly elevated VIX volatility index. The market’s reaction underscores the significant influence of employment data and Federal Reserve policy on investor sentiment and market performance.

    What to Watch Next

    • Wednesday’s Producer Price Index (PPI) Report: This report will provide further insights into inflation pressures and could influence expectations regarding the potential scale of the Fed’s rate cut.
    • Thursday’s Consumer Price Index (CPI) Report: The CPI report will offer a crucial update on consumer inflation, further shaping expectations for future Federal Reserve policy actions.
    • Federal Reserve announcements: The market is eagerly awaiting further announcements from the Federal Reserve regarding its monetary policy stance and the potential timing and scale of any rate cuts.

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    Latest news
    September 16, 2025

    Tech Stocks Surge on Rate Cut Bets

    September 16, 2025

    S&P 500 hits record high on rate cut hopes

    September 16, 2025

    Crypto Market Dips Before FOMC Meeting

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